France
Adaptation - Resilience
Biodiversity - Forest - Land uses
Economic transition (sustainable supply-chains,circular economy, employment)
Food - Agriculture
Water

Strategy Climato-driven 2030

Our mission: to transform companies into regenerative entities, going beyond mere impact reduction. With a new paradigm, we offer over 40 hours of digital training and advice to the agri-food, industrial, financial and public sectors for regenerative climate adaptation.

An initiative of AXA Climate

Overview of the project

To support an agricultural cooperative in its 20230 strategy, with the aim of building climate-resilient sectors that meet a dual environmental and economic ambition.
Our approach involves measuring the impact of climate on 13 crops grown in 28 soil-climate zones representing the cooperative, and identifying adaptation levers at crop level and for each production zone. To do this, we map the main climatic risks impacting production and quantify the impact on yield and financial indicators to assess the cost of inaction and the added value of adaptation measures. We are also building optimal rotations for each pedoclimatic zone, for adaptation on a systemic scale. The aim is to ensure that the rotations selected meet the challenges of crop diversification, water resource management, soil health and biodiversity preservation, reduced carbon footprint and reduced use of plant protection products, while securing margins for the farmer and the cooperative.
In the end, we created a SaaS tool called CERES enabling the cooperative to test as many adaptation scenarios as possible, right down to yield and financial impacts. This solution enables them to make strategic decisions by integrating climate change into their thinking.

Objective

Identify optimal crop rotations for 2030, adapted to climate change and meeting both environmental and economic goals.

Level of progress

Ongoing research

Project timeline

01/09/2022 - 31/01/2024

Quantitative results
  • A precise calculation of the impact of climate change on the agricultural production of the cooperative and its farmers over several time horizons (2030 and 2050) and according to 2 IPCC scenarios (SSP24.5 and SSP5 8.5).
  • For the farmer, this means a drop in margin of at least 20%, with loss-making production for some crops.
  • A precise calculation of the added value provided by adaptation levers for these same climate projections to 2030 and 2050.
  • 5 typical rotations were identified by soil-climate zone, from which we were able to calculate the cooperative’s average crop rotation (the area cultivated for each crop) in 2030 and 2050.
  • The CERES tool enables customers to independently test infinite adaptation scenarios.
Qualitative results
  • A high level of awareness of climate change among our teams, and the appropriation by these same agronomist teams of the methodology for calculating impacts.
  • An in-depth understanding of climate change on the scale of the 28 territories identified
  • The nature and evolution of risks: water stress, heat waves, excess water, etc.
  • A representation of water needs through a precise analysis of the evolution of water balances for different crops.
  • The impact of climate change on the yield potential of the crops studied
  • Various adaptation scenarios tested, in order to select the most cost-effective adaptation measures at crop level and for each pedoclimatic context.
  • Identification of optimized crop rotations in 2030 and 2050
Financing

Cost-sharing between AXA climate and the cooperative

About the
organisation

AXA Climate

website
Vincent MARCHAL
Director Agri-Transition
vincent.marchal@axaclimate.com
+33603219600

Reducing our negative impact on the planet is not enough. Our collective challenge is to move from extractive to regenerative companies. And it is this transformation movement that drives us. We’re changing the paradigm: our companies are living beings, embedded in the living world. We provide over 40 hours of digital training content for companies wishing to support their employees in the evolution of their professions. We provide consulting services to the agri-food, industrial, financial and public sectors to help them successfully adapt to climate and environmental change, in a regenerative way.