For its second edition, the State of Climate Action 2022 analyses the transformation of major systems in relation to the changes needed to keep global warming below 1.5°C. The report provides a number of quantitative indicators to understand the trajectories underway and the challenges ahead.
Bezos Earth Fund, Climate Action Tracker, Climate Analytics, Climateworks Foundation, NewClimate Institute, Race to Zero, Race to Resilience, World Resource Institute
The State of Climate Action 2022 measures the progress and lags of ongoing transformations across the main « systems » of human activity: energy, transport, buildings, forests & soils, food & agriculture, as well as carbon removal technologies and climate finance. This report aims to analyse trajectories by comparing historical data with modelling of future mitigation scenarios, notably from the IPCC reports.
In total, 40 quantitative indicators of change are assessed by the researchers, with regard to the alignment of their transformation in the short term (2030) and long term (2050) with a trajectory compatible with the 1.5°C objective set by the Paris Agreement.
This report follows on from the previous State of Climate Action 2021, published under the aegis of the Systems Change Lab, an initiative co-sponsored by the World Resource Institute and the Jeff Bezos Foundation, which coincided with the launch of an open data platform.
🔎 Key takeaways
The main results are summarised in the figure below:
No indicator is estimated to be aligned with the 1.5°C trajectory by 2030
6 indicators follow a promising but insufficient trajectory. This is the case, for example, for the evolution of the share of low-carbon energy in electricity production, the penetration of electric vehicles on the market, or the reforested areas.
21 indicators are moving in the right direction, but far below the expected pace. This is the case for the production of green hydrogen, or the reduction of the carbon intensity of cement production.
5 indicators are moving in the wrong direction, such as the reduction of fossil fuels in electricity production or emissions from agriculture.
8 indicators could not be assessed due to lack of data.
At the same time, the report tries to identify the probability of exponential change trajectories in the future, depending on several parameters. In a second step, sectoral analyses examine the enabling conditions and barriers to change in each system.
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